Forge vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
ATO
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
FAS
2 - 2
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
FAS
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
ATO
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
HFX
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
YOR
5 - 0
MFA
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ATO
1 - 1
YOR
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HFX
2 - 3
YOR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
YOR
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |