Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
YOR
4 - 0
FOR
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
YOR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
0 - 1
FOR
20%
28%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 0
HFX
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 1
VAL
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 1
CAV
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 1
PAC
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |