Scottish League Two Jor. 5

Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis

Forfar Athletic Stranraer
50 ELO 50
2% Tilt -7%
4303º General ELO ranking 5381º
49º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Forfar Athletic
25.2%
Draw
30.1%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.1%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forfar Athletic
-12%
+1%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Forfar Athletic
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
ELG
Elgin City
1 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
57%
23%
21%
50 52 2 0
14 Aug. 2021
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 2
Kelty Hearts
KHE
32%
25%
43%
49 54 5 +1
10 Aug. 2021
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 0
Formartine United
FOR
45%
23%
32%
49 47 2 0
07 Aug. 2021
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
30%
26%
44%
47 55 8 +2
31 Jul. 2021
BLA
Annan Athletic
0 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
49%
23%
28%
46 45 1 +1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
STR
Stranraer
0 - 3
Stirling Albion
STI
49%
25%
27%
51 50 1 0
10 Aug. 2021
STR
Stranraer
3 - 0
Motherwell II
MTW
85%
10%
4%
51 7 44 0
07 Aug. 2021
STR
Stranraer
0 - 3
Annan Athletic
BLA
67%
20%
13%
52 44 8 -1
31 Jul. 2021
ELG
Elgin City
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
50%
23%
26%
52 52 0 0
24 Jul. 2021
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
75%
16%
9%
53 67 14 -1
X