Forfar Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 0
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
AIR
0 - 1
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALL
3 - 0
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
7 - 1
CWB
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 6
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
5 - 1
CWB
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 4
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |