Forest Green Rovers vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MKD
1 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 3
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
WYC
2 - 2
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OLD
2 - 1
CRA
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 2
BCF
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |