Folkestone Invicta vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
FOL
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
STA
0 - 2
FOL
28%
25%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 1
TOO
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
THR
0 - 1
FOL
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
YEL
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
BOG
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BIL
1 - 1
MER
51%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
KIN
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TON
3 - 2
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |