Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-6
Folgore vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 3
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
0 - 0
OMO
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
4 - 0
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 1
AEK
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
NEA
3 - 2
AEK
18%
27%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |