UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Fola Esch vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
FOL
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
WAA
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 4
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
KAE
0 - 3
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
F91
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
OSI
1 - 1
DZG
18%
25%
58%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
FOL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
HKS
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 0
KUB
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
ZIL
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |