CBF Brasileiro U23 . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Fluminense Sub 23 vs Cuiabá Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
FLU
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 0
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cuiabá Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CEC
2 - 0
SPR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SPR
1 - 1
CEC
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CEC
1 - 0
CSA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 1
CEC
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CEC
0 - 0
FOR
25%
25%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |