Fluminense SC vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 0
FFC
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 2
JUV
36%
24%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
FFC
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 1
CAM
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 1
ECP
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
ECP
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
GUA
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |