Fluminense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
18%
25%
58%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 2
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
18%
24%
58%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |