Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SCI
2 - 2
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 0
PPE
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
YPI
0 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
PPE
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 1
PAL
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |