Fluminense vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
COR
3 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOR
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
JUV
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
AVA
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SCI
4 - 0
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |