Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 4
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
TIG
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 3
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
BON
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 1
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
AMF
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
FLA
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
FLA
14%
22%
65%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOA
83%
12%
4%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |