Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLU
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1987 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRI
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
CRI
2 - 1
FLU
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
BOT
1 - 0
GOI
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1987 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
JEC
1 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |