Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
FLU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
CHA
63%
23%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATP
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAR
79%
16%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |