Fluminense PI vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 0
COR
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
FPI
2 - 0
OES
21%
21%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 4
FPI
12%
17%
70%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FPI
5 - 0
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 5
FPI
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
NOV
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
SAN
8%
21%
71%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAO
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
3 - 2
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |