Floresta EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 0
FLO
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 0
FLO
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 2
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
TOM
18%
28%
55%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
FLO
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 2
FER
55%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
VOL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 0
FER
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TOM
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |