FC Flora vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
5º
4º
31
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
NOM
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
16%
19%
64%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 6
RIG
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
TAM
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
TAL
33%
24%
44%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 3
LIE
28%
22%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
TAL
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |