FC Flora vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 0
KAL
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
FLO
11%
21%
67%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HJP
2 - 3
FLO
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
TAM
53%
22%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
83%
13%
4%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
HJP
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |