Flint Town United vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PRE
2 - 3
FLI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FLI
1 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
FLI
22%
22%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
FLI
1 - 6
BAL
12%
17%
72%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FLI
1 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
RTW
2 - 0
GRE
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FLI
1 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
4 - 3
BFR
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
PRE
38%
23%
40%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 6
GRE
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +3 |