Flevo Boys vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flevo Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
BEQ
2 - 2
FLE
55%
22%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 0
HHC
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 1
PKC
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ORA
1 - 4
FLE
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 2
BEQ
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
WHC
2 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 0
ONS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BEQ
2 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 2
PKC
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 3
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |