Serie A Betano Round 11

Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis

Flamengo São Paulo
86 ELO 78
3% Tilt -10.4%
129º General ELO ranking 142º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
70%
Flamengo
18.7%
Draw
11.2%
São Paulo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
São Paulo
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+23%
+4%
São Paulo

ELO progression

Flamengo
São Paulo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2017
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
49%
25%
27%
85 86 1 0
25 Jun. 2017
BAH
Bahía
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
28%
27%
45%
85 75 10 0
23 Jun. 2017
FLA
Flamengo
5 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
65%
21%
15%
85 79 6 0
18 Jun. 2017
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
39%
26%
35%
85 80 5 0
15 Jun. 2017
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
61%
22%
18%
84 80 4 +1

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2017
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
44%
26%
30%
79 80 1 0
22 Jun. 2017
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
46%
28%
27%
79 79 0 0
18 Jun. 2017
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
33%
25%
41%
79 85 6 0
15 Jun. 2017
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
43%
27%
30%
79 75 4 0
11 Jun. 2017
COR
Corinthians
3 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
64%
23%
13%
80 87 7 -1