Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 0
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FLA
4 - 2
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
GOI
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 0
CRB
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
COT
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
CRB
2 - 1
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |