Flamengo vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
BAR
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
INT
4 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 3
RES
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BON
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |