Flamengo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
BVS
2 - 2
FLA
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1991 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLA
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 1
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
GOI
5 - 1
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
PAL
2 - 0
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAU
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAO
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |