Flamengo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1974 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLA
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 1
FLA
27%
31%
42%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1974 |
FLA
3 - 0
REM
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
COT
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1974 |
OPE
1 - 0
GUA
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
GUA
3 - 3
AMF
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1974 |
GUA
2 - 0
CEB
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |