Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
AMF
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
COR
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 0
GRE
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 2
GRE
29%
27%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |