Flamengo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
PPE
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
FLA
19%
27%
54%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PPE
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 6
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CRZ
0 - 2
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |