Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
FLA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
CAB
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
VOL
0 - 2
FLA
12%
23%
66%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
APA
2 - 1
BOT
11%
24%
65%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
2%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOA
87%
11%
3%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOT
11%
23%
66%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |