Flamengo BA vs AD Astro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Astro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
ADA
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ADA
4 - 0
JEQ
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ADA
1 - 0
GAC
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
JAC
0 - 0
ADA
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
JEQ
0 - 0
ADA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |