Smena-Zenit vs Sheksna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena-Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SZP
2 - 3
DVO
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
SZP
0 - 3
SHC
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SZP
3 - 1
DVO
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
VOL
5 - 1
SZP
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SZP
1 - 2
DIN
28%
25%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sheksna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VOR
0 - 0
SHC
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
SZP
0 - 3
SHC
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
VOR
0 - 0
SHC
23%
28%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
NAR
0 - 1
SHC
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
IST
1 - 1
SHC
23%
26%
52%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |