FSC Mariupol vs Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
8º
8º
19
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FYM
2 - 1
HSP
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SKT
1 - 0
FYM
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FYM
2 - 4
POL
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 1
FYM
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 4
FYM
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
PRY
2 - 0
FKC
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 1
FCD
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BUK
3 - 1
FKC
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 1
FYM
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KRE
3 - 0
FKC
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |