Gabala FK vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FKQ
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 3
SFK
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 2
FKQ
10%
21%
69%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TEP
2 - 1
FKQ
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SHA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
SUM
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 1
TUR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ZIR
3 - 1
SUM
64%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
KRS
1 - 0
SUM
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |