FK Novosibirsk vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
5 - 0
DIN
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
KRS
2 - 6
FCN
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 1
LAD
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
LSD
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VOL
0 - 0
FCN
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CHE
4 - 3
VOL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
YEN
1 - 2
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
DMA
0 - 3
CHE
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
FOT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAS
0 - 1
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |