Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 1
SEB
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 3
FKN
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 3
SFK
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
QAR
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
QAR
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FCK
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
SCF
17%
20%
63%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |