Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 4-0
Neftçi vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
0 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
FKN
6 - 0
SPE
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 3
FKN
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 3
FKN
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
QAR
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 3
FCR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
0 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
KRS
2 - 3
ARS
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
DIN
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 3
ARS
22%
25%
54%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |