Mladost DG vs FK Berane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
48
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 3
BOK
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
JED
3 - 1
FKM
33%
23%
44%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
KOM
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 2
FKM
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Berane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
OUL
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
MLJ
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 0
BER
67%
21%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
GRB
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |