Fakel II vs Znamya Noginsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAT
2 - 0
FKF
88%
9%
3%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
KAL
4 - 1
FKF
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FKF
1 - 0
AVA
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SOK
1 - 0
FKF
88%
10%
3%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FKF
2 - 1
FMV
21%
20%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Znamya Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FKL
1 - 0
ZAN
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
1 - 1
KAL
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
ZAN
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
0 - 4
PER
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
1 - 1
SOK
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |