Botev Kermen vs Zagorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
80%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KAR
1 - 4
ZAG
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ZAG
1 - 1
CHE
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SKM
1 - 2
ZAG
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ZAG
1 - 0
IGO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ZAG
3 - 0
HAS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |