Arsenal Tivat vs FK Rudar Pljevlja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
38
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 3
FKA
26%
25%
48%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 4
FKA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 4
BUD
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 3
FKA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Rudar Pljevlja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
1 - 3
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 0
SUT
20%
27%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
RUD
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEC
5 - 1
RUD
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 1
BUD
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |