Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 1
FKA
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 2
PET
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 5
PAK
10%
14%
76%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
SUT
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 0
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
ZBE
2 - 0
MOR
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |