La Fiorita vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
30%
24%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
31%
23%
47%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
SGI
0 - 2
FAE
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TPE
3 - 0
SGI
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
COS
5 - 1
SGI
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
VIR
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 3
JUV
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |