Fiorenzuola vs Cantù San Paolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 0
FIO
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
3 - 0
STD
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 2
CAR
30%
25%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 3
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cantù San Paolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
3 - 1
FOL
41%
26%
34%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 4
CAN
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALZ
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |