Coppa Italia . Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Fiorentina vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIC
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
TOR
0 - 3
FIO
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
FIO
2 - 1
PIA
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
INT
4 - 0
NAP
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
PIA
1 - 0
INT
33%
27%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
INT
1 - 1
PAR
43%
28%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
VIC
1 - 1
INT
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |