Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
19%
26%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 3
PAL
65%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
EMP
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CES
1 - 4
FIO
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 3
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |