Philippines vs Bhutan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2008 |
PHL
0 - 0
TJK
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
PHL
1 - 0
BRN
56%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
MMR
0 - 0
PHL
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
THA
4 - 0
PHL
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
MAS
4 - 0
PHL
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2008 |
BTN
1 - 1
BRN
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
BTN
1 - 3
TJK
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BTN
0 - 1
UZB
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 79 | 44 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
KWT
10 - 0
BTN
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 81 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 1
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |