Philippines vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
PHL
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PHL
5 - 1
BRN
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
KHM
3 - 2
PHL
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
VNM
1 - 0
PHL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
PSE
4 - 0
PHL
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
IDN
1 - 1
THA
17%
19%
64%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BRN
0 - 7
IDN
3%
10%
87%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
IDN
2 - 1
KHM
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IDN
2 - 1
CUW
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IDN
3 - 2
CUW
29%
23%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |