Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-1
Figueirense vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
FFL
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
FFL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
FFL
13%
20%
67%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 3
CRI
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
FFL
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |