Feyenoord vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
2 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
GRA
78%
16%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
FEY
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
BVO
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |